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华尔街对于锂供应激增的预期,实际上高估了锂生产商的增产能力

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在过去的18个月里,“缺芯”一直是汽车集团所面临的关键制约因素,但是随着电动汽车市场需求的逐渐扩张,“缺锂”很有可能逐渐变成更严峻的制约因素。

近日,全球最大锂制造商国外雅宝警示称,因为锂市预估不断供不应求,在2030年之前,汽车制造商仍将面临一场“抢锂对决”。

雅宝预估锂市焦虑不安将持续多年

伴随着电动汽车逐渐变为全世界流行发展趋势,锂资源角逐也日趋猛烈。

在今年的,Stellantis、宝妈等众多著名汽车制造商都投资了锂技术性初创公司。上星期,通用汽车公司也表示,将向锂技术公司Livent付款2亿美元的订金,提前获得氢氧化锂等锂离子电池原材料的平稳供货。

雅宝CEO肯特•马斯特斯(Kent Masters)表明,即使多方勤奋向市场释放出来更多锂,但市场仍将供货焦虑不安。

“在相当长的一段时间内,这(供不应求形势)是系统性的,”马斯特斯在谈到锂行业面临的难题时表示,“在七到八年的时间里,他会维持非常紧张的情况。”

近好多个月来,因为经济下滑风险性加重,诸多大宗商品现货都出现价格下跌,但锂价却是个除外。

在锂价在4月初创期下7万美金/吨以后,锂价并未出现大幅度下降,反而是在高位稳中有进,而这其背后的支撑点主要原因是电动汽车市场火爆。归功于锂市火爆,雅宝在今年的已三次上涨赢利预估。

美国华尔街高估了锂企提高产量速度?

最近,一些银行和科研机构对锂价格的市场前景转为没有那么开朗,高盛公司投资分析师强调,科技进步(特别是盐湖提锂技术)有可能在几年内带来更多供货。

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