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主要受大规模组合式减税、疫情冲击、重点税源减收以及上年同期增幅较高等多重因素叠加影响

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近日,李总理在北京召开经济发展大省委负责人交流会时规定,江苏、山东省、广东省、浙江省等4个沿海省份要完成财政局上缴每日任务。

江苏和山东省是中国的经济大省,都是财政局强省,财政局收入经营规模稳居全国前列,也是全国为数不多中央预算净上缴省区。两个地方进行在今年的中央预算净上缴每日任务,并对支撑点我国财力和中央预算对西部地区财政转移支付发挥了重要作用。

依据粤开证券研究所数据信息,2019年江苏和山东省净上缴中央预算收入分别是4091亿人民币和2152亿元。国盛证券研究室资料显示,2020年江苏和山东省净上缴中央预算收入分别是4870亿人民币和1036亿元。所说净上缴中央预算收入,一般是指地区贡献的中央预算收入减掉本地得到中央转移支付等收入差值。

在今年的疫情影响超过预期,对于企业正常运营导致冲击性,危害税款收入,因为全国各地受疫情影响情况不同,收入遭受影响程度不一。此外规模性出口退税减税政策、缓税金措施还在短期内导致地方财政大幅度减收,而房市不景气也使房地产业有关收入增长乏力甚至下降。

受以上因素的影响,江苏和山东财政收入跟大部分省区一样,遭受显著冲击性。

依据中国统计局数据信息,上半年江苏省和山东一般公共性预算收入各是4639亿人民币和3950亿元,按当然规格各自同比减少17.9%和8.2%。

地方财政收入下降,跟在今年的规模性企业增值税留抵退税所导致的政策减收关联大。

详细数据表明,截止到7月20日,江苏总计贯彻落实新增加减税政策及出口退税缓税缓费超3200亿人民币,在其中贯彻落实企业增值税留抵退税1835.2亿人民币。上半年,山东省我省贯彻落实各类出口退税减税降费政策为企业减轻负担约1958亿人民币。在其中,企业增值税留抵退税1408亿人民币。

为了能更准确体现经济现状,官方网发布了扣减企业增值税留抵退税要素后增长速度。上半年江苏和山东省扣减企业增值税留抵退税后收入增长速度分别是-5.8%和6.3%。江苏同口径收入下降跟受疫情影响更大当等相关。

但是随着新冠疫情得到监管,稳经济一揽子措施落地执行,及其后面出口退税降速效用减少,总体来说以上两省财政局收入逐渐修复,发展趋势稳步发展。

江苏所辖13个城市中,苏州市、南京市、无锡市财政局收入经营规模稳居前三,三市总计一般公共性预算收入占我省收入比例一半以上(2021年约54%),是当地奉献中间资金的主要城市。

最牛地市苏州市在今年的疫情冲击比较大,累加规模性出口退税降税等,收入遭受一定影响。现阶段苏州财政局并未公布上半年的财政局收入情况(上半年度经济发展0.3%)。依据详细数据,上半年度苏州市所辖昆山市(-13.4%)、苏州园区(-4.7%)收入按当然规格有所下滑。

南京市和无锡市现阶段也并未公布上半年度财政局收入情况。但是据无锡市本地主流媒体公布,6月份扣减留抵退税要素后,无锡市一般公共性预算收入增长幅度较5月份回暖8.1个百分点;上半年度增长幅度较1-5月回暖0.4个百分点,居全市前茅。

山东省所辖16个城市中,青岛市、济南市、烟台市、潍坊市财政局收入经营规模居前,四市一般公共性预算收入占我省收入江山半壁。

青岛市财政局资料显示,上半年,青岛市我市一般公共性预算收入673.5亿人民币,扣减留抵退税要素后提高7.1%,按当然规格测算降低13.8%。

依据全国各地行政机关数据信息,上半年济南一般公共性预算收入约541亿人民币,扣减留抵退税要素后同口径提高3.1%,按当然规格测算降低9.9%。烟台市上半年度一般公共性预算收入409.4亿人民币,同口径提高7.1%。

潍坊市市财政局资料显示,1-7月份,我市一般公共性预算收入进行373.2亿人民币,扣减留抵退税要素后同口径降低20%,按当然规格测算降低27.4%,较上半年度下降15.2个百分点。

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