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政策刺激效果如何

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9月29日至30日,短短的两天内房市连收3项政策“礼包”。节日期间最终一个交易日,地产板块涨幅居前,天房发展(600322)、天保基建(000965)、海泰发展(600082)和荣丰控股(000668)股票涨停,权重值保利发展、万科地产A涨近4%。不得不让人想知道,在诸多政策利好刺激下,房地产股票是不是又行了?

政策刺激效果怎么样

一)放开首套房贷利率下限

各级政府可自行决定首套房贷利率下限下降力度,幅度比较大,但局限性许多,该政策只对2022年6-8月份新创建商品房市场价格同比、同期相比均持续降低的大城市合理,据整理,审计局规格的70个一二线城市中,只要23个二三线城市符合规定。

二)下降公积金房贷利率

个人公积金利率一般是做为政策措施,追随商业贷款利率同歩调节,充分考虑公积金房贷占非常小,显而易见刺激实际效果比较有限

三)个税优惠

住宅市场交易阶段涉及到增值税和房产契税已经在2014-2016年调整到历史时间较比较宽松水准,本次个税优惠刺激幅度比较小。

安信证券研报强调,三项政策都以适用居住需求为主要目标,更多的是为地产销售“托市”并非“举市”,预估地产销售依然在波动磨底环节。

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